Fed interest rates on the move? Waller’s speech could change the game
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is set to deliver a speech today at 19:00 GMT. His speech would be one of the most awaited speeches whereby he might describe some future course for the U.S. monetary policy. Most people expect that inflation and interest rates may be addressed by Waller, and overall broader economic direction may also be intimated therein, which may suggest some future change in Fed strategy.
Market reactions can be mixed, following his speech, depending on whether he is severe and provides significant takeaways. If Waller indicates an aggressive inflation-control policy, there can be a possibility of interest rate hikes shortly which could have an impact on business and individual borrowing costs. In case he looks at it from a softer approach, markets would then experience a sleepier period where investors would hope for fewer policy changes.
It's not entirely clear what the words of Waller will bode for the economy, but his speech is likely to predict the coming discussion about inflation and overall economic stability.
Will the new UK claimant count statistics bring relief or cause concern?
The latest UK Claimant Count Change report is scheduled to be published on October 15, 2024, at 06:00 GMT. It should reveal the latest figures on changes in unemployment benefit claims for the preceding month. The forecast stands at 89.6K, a considerable decline from the previous figure of 135.0K. Nonetheless, the overall figure might change, causing an outbreak of further movement in market sentiment.
If it is higher than forecast, weakness in the UK labor market, and the chances for concern about an economic slowdown will rise. This could have implications that head back to troubles for businesses and consumer expenditure, which may begin to resurface in the growth of GDP. On the other hand, lower claimant count may ease some of the concerns, and a brighter outlook on the job market may be envisioned.
Still, the report will inevitably help to shape opinion about the course of recovery for the UK economy and be something policymakers and market watchers will come back to again and again pondering the implications for future growth and stability.